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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Indiana University-0.97+0.95vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.93+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.27-1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14-1.87vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-1.84-1.80vs Predicted
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7Washington University-2.10-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Indiana University-0.970.2%1st Place
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4.18Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
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2.03University of Iowa-0.270.4%1st Place
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3.13University of Michigan-1.140.2%1st Place
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4.2Iowa State University-1.840.1%1st Place
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4.51Washington University-2.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Ritter | 18.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Ava Karaitis | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 27.0% | 25.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 44.4% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Zach Nerod | 17.0% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 14.3% | 5.5% |
| Noah Carter | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 22.8% | 26.3% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.