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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Michigan State University-1.93+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-1.06-0.38vs Predicted
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4Washington University-2.10-0.05vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.97-2.48vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-3.34-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.14-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Iowa-1.060.3%1st Place
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3.95Washington University-2.100.1%1st Place
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2.52Indiana University-0.970.3%1st Place
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5.36Iowa State University-3.340.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Michigan-1.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Karaitis | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 27.4% | 11.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 27.0% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 9.8% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 31.7% | 13.8% |
| Brian Ritter | 27.7% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Braatz | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 69.2% |
| Zach Nerod | 23.4% | 24.3% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.