← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University-0.97+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-1.93+0.73vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-1.14-1.32vs Predicted
-
5Washington University-2.10-1.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-1.06-3.22vs Predicted
-
7Iowa State University-3.34-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.53Indiana University-0.970.3%1st Place
-
3.73Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
-
2.68University of Michigan-1.140.3%1st Place
-
3.94Washington University-2.100.1%1st Place
-
2.78University of Iowa-1.060.2%1st Place
-
5.35Iowa State University-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Ritter | 28.3% | 26.7% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Ava Karaitis | 10.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 22.2% | 26.4% | 10.6% |
| Zach Nerod | 25.6% | 22.7% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 31.2% | 13.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 23.2% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Jackson Braatz | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.