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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Indiana University-0.88+0.58vs Predicted
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3Washington University-2.10+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.27-2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14-2.17vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Indiana University-0.880.2%1st Place
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3.94Washington University-2.100.1%1st Place
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1.92University of Iowa-0.270.5%1st Place
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2.83University of Michigan-1.140.2%1st Place
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3.74Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 23.8% | 27.6% | 24.4% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 5.9% | 7.4% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 43.0% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 45.4% | 27.0% | 19.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Zach Nerod | 17.1% | 25.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 9.9% |
| Ava Karaitis | 7.8% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.