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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-0.88+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.27-1.05vs Predicted
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4Washington University-2.10-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14-2.16vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Indiana University-0.880.2%1st Place
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1.95University of Iowa-0.270.4%1st Place
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3.88Washington University-2.100.1%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan-1.140.2%1st Place
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3.75Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 24.3% | 25.6% | 25.5% | 16.8% | 7.8% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 43.5% | 28.9% | 18.6% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 7.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 25.8% | 43.3% |
| Zach Nerod | 16.7% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 10.7% |
| Ava Karaitis | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 28.1% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.