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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Kopiwoda 6.0% 7.3% 8.8% 11.8% 17.1% 25.5% 16.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 21.9% 21.5% 21.1% 16.0% 11.4% 6.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kara Wheeler 10.1% 12.9% 12.3% 17.5% 21.5% 18.6% 5.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
John Reddaway 18.7% 19.3% 20.3% 19.7% 12.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Roberts 30.8% 25.5% 20.3% 12.2% 6.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Katsis 10.1% 11.2% 13.6% 16.6% 19.9% 19.3% 7.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 2.3% 4.9% 17.1% 25.7% 28.1% 18.9%
Duncan Greeley 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 6.7% 21.1% 27.3% 23.9% 12.7%
Michael Stolorena 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.9% 21.9% 24.5% 25.1% 13.8%
Joshua Johnson-Benmosche 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 2.1% 6.7% 13.4% 20.7% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.