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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 20.7% 20.1% 18.7% 15.1% 14.6% 7.4% 3.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Katsis 8.7% 9.9% 15.3% 17.3% 20.8% 17.7% 7.8% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kara Wheeler 10.8% 11.4% 13.4% 18.5% 20.4% 17.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Roberts 30.7% 25.3% 20.3% 13.9% 5.9% 3.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 21.9% 24.3% 18.9% 17.6% 10.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 3.3% 4.5% 16.9% 22.4% 28.6% 19.8%
Patrick Kopiwoda 4.5% 5.7% 9.4% 11.3% 17.1% 29.4% 15.2% 6.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Duncan Greeley 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 2.7% 3.6% 6.8% 20.7% 27.0% 23.8% 12.7%
Michael Stolorena 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 5.6% 20.5% 27.3% 26.0% 12.2%
Joshua Johnson-Benmosche 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 1.1% 2.3% 7.4% 12.8% 20.1% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.