Race 3A

saisa-np4

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Roberts 31.8% 24.6% 19.9% 11.5% 7.3% 4.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 18.2% 18.9% 22.1% 17.0% 13.3% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Kopiwoda 5.9% 7.2% 8.0% 10.3% 15.2% 29.8% 17.3% 5.8% 0.2% 0.3%
Alexander Katsis 7.9% 11.7% 14.1% 17.3% 22.4% 17.0% 8.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Kara Wheeler 11.9% 12.0% 13.4% 20.3% 21.1% 13.6% 5.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 21.8% 23.1% 20.1% 16.7% 11.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 5.4% 16.3% 25.4% 29.2% 18.6%
Joshua Johnson-Benmosche 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 7.4% 13.5% 19.4% 54.7%
Duncan Greeley 0.7% 1.3% 0.5% 2.1% 2.9% 6.7% 20.3% 25.4% 27.2% 12.9%
Michael Stolorena 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 2.7% 2.9% 7.4% 21.2% 26.3% 23.4% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.