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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Edwin Strong 32.6% 26.1% 17.1% 13.4% 5.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lindahl 15.6% 17.1% 18.5% 19.0% 14.5% 10.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Kim 8.6% 8.0% 11.4% 12.7% 18.8% 19.7% 12.8% 6.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Elijah Jones 2.4% 4.6% 7.6% 9.0% 13.5% 19.0% 19.7% 15.3% 7.6% 1.3%
Scott Claudon 2.8% 4.2% 4.1% 6.2% 6.7% 11.0% 22.3% 22.9% 15.8% 4.0%
John Sipp 12.1% 12.8% 15.7% 17.1% 19.1% 12.1% 7.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Art 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.2% 7.2% 13.2% 20.5% 25.1% 17.5% 4.3%
Jack Gonzales 23.3% 23.4% 21.1% 14.8% 10.0% 5.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Erica Trotter 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.8% 8.4% 18.1% 40.2% 20.7%
Rachael Payton 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 2.1% 2.8% 6.3% 17.2% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.