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📊 Prediction Accuracy
8.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+5.53vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.88+4.18vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+4.76vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+6.07vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92-3.83vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.61+4.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.42+3.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-2.60vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.19vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42-2.92vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+3.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.71vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.73-11.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.31-6.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine1.71-8.96vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.44-5.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-2.91vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-3.99vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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5.71California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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10.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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14.19California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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14.19California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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11.08Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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18.01California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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18.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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18.01California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 19.6% | 33.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 31.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.