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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.25vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.60vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+1.58vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61+8.41vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52+3.38vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+6.41vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.88-0.08vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.73-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.44+3.84vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.09vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+5.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.42+1.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.81-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.99vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.71-8.33vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University1.42-7.76vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-1.93vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley1.31-9.61vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-5.84vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.6California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.58California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.41California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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14.41California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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14.84University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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18.09California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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15.11University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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11.24Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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16.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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18.09California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 31.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.