← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.88+8.04vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.93+3.19vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.81+6.39vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+7.06vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.83vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.52+4.70vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.31+4.25vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.94vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.92-3.83vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.71-0.31vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.66vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.94vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-6.46vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.73-8.13vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.08vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.00vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University1.42-6.08vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.42-3.09vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley0.79-5.17vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-1.87vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-4.64vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.08vs Predicted
-
24California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.04University of Hawaii1.880.0%1st Place
-
5.19University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.83California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.7University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.94California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.17University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
-
13.94California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.87Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
-
14.92University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
10.92Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
14.91University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
13.83University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
18.13University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
-
16.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
17.92California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
-
17.92California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 12.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 34.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 31.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 31.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.