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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+4.19vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52+6.35vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93+0.31vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+5.21vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42+3.64vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.88+0.77vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.61+5.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.31+1.34vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-4.63vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.11vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.73-7.13vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+4.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.81-6.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.35-6.97vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.42-5.01vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-2.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-6.86vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.65California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.64Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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14.11California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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6.37California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.11California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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18.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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14.99University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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18.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 33.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 32.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.