Race 1A

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lukas Edegran 7.7% 9.5% 10.8% 11.5% 10.8% 14.6% 14.4% 10.0% 6.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Hannon 7.3% 8.1% 10.7% 8.1% 12.3% 13.8% 12.0% 12.8% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Philip Alley 9.8% 11.6% 12.6% 12.9% 13.8% 13.2% 11.8% 8.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Turchiano 4.8% 5.6% 6.3% 9.1% 9.5% 9.9% 14.5% 14.7% 13.4% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Austen Anderson 20.4% 19.4% 15.1% 15.3% 13.1% 7.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 26.9% 22.4% 18.1% 12.5% 9.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Horrocks 14.0% 13.1% 13.5% 14.0% 14.0% 11.9% 7.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Layton 5.4% 6.0% 6.9% 8.5% 8.8% 11.5% 13.9% 15.9% 12.3% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Fulcher 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 4.2% 4.6% 8.5% 12.3% 19.3% 21.3% 22.0% 0.0%
Ira Carson 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 9.2% 14.8% 20.4% 17.1% 11.2% 6.6% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 6.7% 11.9% 17.9% 23.4% 29.7% 0.0%
Michael Gillin 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 9.2% 11.2% 17.0% 22.3% 28.2% 0.0%
William McIvor 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 5.8% 11.1% 18.7% 19.6% 18.8% 13.1% 0.0%
Kelly Rousmaniere 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 6.7% 11.9% 17.9% 23.4% 29.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.