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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.65+6.53vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32+1.18vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+7.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.02+3.99vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.84vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.56+3.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-0.39vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.50-6.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.06-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.78-3.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.31-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.43-3.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-0.24vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.89vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.71vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-3.71vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.56-8.85vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.20-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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5.31California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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13.26Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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10.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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13.84California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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17.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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17.29California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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17.29California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.15California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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15.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 33.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shiron Drusinsky | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.