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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+4.20vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.56+10.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+1.73vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.32vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.17vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.32-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.58+3.48vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.35vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.56+1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.78-0.26vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+3.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06-5.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.62-8.70vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.20-2.72vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego0.31-5.35vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-3.39vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-4.27vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University0.59-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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12.65California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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5.19Stanford University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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10.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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13.35California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.65California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.65University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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16.61California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.56Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 30.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shiron Drusinsky | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 30.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 30.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.