Race 1A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 26.4% 21.4% 19.9% 11.9% 9.5% 5.8% 2.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 7.6% 12.4% 10.1% 11.9% 13.6% 13.4% 11.9% 10.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Lindsey Kennett 7.3% 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 11.3% 12.0% 14.0% 14.7% 11.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Shannon Killian 5.3% 7.1% 8.4% 11.7% 11.7% 11.3% 14.2% 12.5% 9.7% 6.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Camille Matile 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 12.3% 12.7% 14.4% 11.1% 10.1% 6.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 21.6% 19.2% 17.7% 13.4% 10.7% 8.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 12.6% 13.6% 14.1% 14.3% 12.4% 10.7% 10.3% 6.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jeffrey Adam 6.2% 7.1% 6.7% 8.9% 8.0% 12.3% 14.0% 14.4% 12.3% 6.4% 3.0% 0.7%
George Williams 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 2.6% 2.2% 4.5% 6.7% 12.4% 21.0% 26.1% 20.3%
Tatum McLaughlin 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 4.2% 8.1% 15.7% 25.4% 35.6%
Justine Mitchell 2.1% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 9.5% 19.9% 19.7% 16.9% 10.3%
William Herlihy 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 5.4% 9.7% 18.7% 23.5% 32.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.