Race 6A

south-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexander Tong 22.3% 19.3% 16.2% 12.3% 11.0% 7.2% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.6% 7.3% 8.4% 9.0% 12.5% 16.2% 17.2% 6.1%
Eric Anderson 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.7% 0.4%
Camille Matile 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 12.1% 9.6% 10.4% 10.3% 10.4% 7.2% 6.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Jeffrey Adam 5.4% 7.5% 6.5% 7.7% 9.1% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 11.2% 12.1% 8.1% 3.1%
Lindsey Kennett 7.1% 7.6% 6.8% 8.9% 8.7% 10.6% 10.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 6.3% 1.8%
Sarah Fuller 5.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.8% 8.0% 7.6% 12.5% 10.2% 11.3% 11.3% 7.8% 1.9%
Henry O'Brien 11.6% 12.4% 10.6% 11.9% 9.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.2% 7.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Patrick Isherwood 14.5% 13.1% 15.9% 10.5% 12.6% 9.2% 8.6% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
William Herlihy 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 2.7% 4.7% 8.4% 17.7% 56.3%
Mateus Guimaraes 1.9% 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 4.9% 3.2% 9.1% 13.8% 28.6% 26.9%
Shannon Killian 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 9.0% 9.3% 11.6% 9.2% 11.2% 11.8% 8.5% 6.1% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.