Race 8A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry O'Brien 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 13.1% 10.2% 10.8% 10.0% 8.5% 8.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Eric Anderson 9.7% 12.2% 10.1% 10.7% 11.0% 10.4% 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 5.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Camille Matile 10.4% 8.8% 10.4% 10.7% 12.2% 9.6% 10.3% 11.4% 6.9% 6.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Alexander Tong 22.4% 21.6% 14.9% 14.6% 8.6% 7.2% 4.7% 2.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 5.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.2% 9.3% 8.2% 10.0% 11.8% 11.1% 10.7% 9.0% 2.8%
Sarah Fuller 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 10.8% 10.7% 11.1% 10.4% 12.3% 8.2% 2.4%
Lindsey Kennett 7.1% 7.9% 9.5% 7.9% 10.0% 8.7% 10.8% 10.0% 10.5% 9.9% 5.5% 2.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.8% 3.9% 5.9% 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 8.3% 8.6% 12.2% 16.1% 14.9% 8.3%
William Herlihy 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 5.2% 7.7% 19.0% 55.9%
Mateus Guimaraes 1.6% 2.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.9% 5.8% 6.7% 14.0% 28.4% 25.1%
Patrick Isherwood 13.6% 11.8% 14.5% 10.4% 11.5% 11.6% 8.6% 7.5% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Shannon Killian 7.7% 6.5% 6.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 11.9% 9.3% 6.4% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.