Race 9A

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexander Tong 21.7% 20.0% 16.8% 11.9% 12.0% 6.9% 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Henry O'Brien 10.6% 10.5% 12.6% 11.8% 9.8% 12.0% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Camille Matile 10.8% 8.7% 11.5% 9.7% 10.6% 9.9% 10.9% 10.5% 9.1% 5.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Lindsey Kennett 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 10.5% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 7.5% 1.7%
Eric Anderson 9.9% 11.1% 10.8% 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 8.6% 10.4% 6.6% 6.6% 2.3% 0.8%
Sarah Fuller 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 11.2% 12.0% 8.9% 2.1%
Jeffrey Adam 6.4% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 8.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.9% 11.2% 8.4% 2.3%
Patrick Isherwood 15.8% 14.0% 12.1% 11.4% 11.4% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 4.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.9% 10.2% 9.9% 13.6% 15.3% 14.8% 5.5%
William Herlihy 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 7.7% 17.7% 57.5%
Mateus Guimaraes 1.9% 1.8% 1.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 5.3% 7.3% 13.7% 29.4% 26.9%
Shannon Killian 7.2% 7.6% 7.1% 10.4% 7.9% 10.7% 10.2% 10.4% 11.4% 10.0% 5.1% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.