Race 1B

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Girard 12.2% 15.0% 15.0% 16.9% 14.1% 12.6% 6.6% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 17.4% 20.0% 19.4% 16.5% 10.4% 7.4% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Frederick Finkenauer 6.9% 6.7% 10.6% 10.6% 12.3% 14.8% 15.2% 10.1% 7.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Lydia Grasberger 36.4% 27.3% 16.7% 9.1% 6.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Lewis 4.2% 3.9% 6.1% 8.8% 9.1% 11.2% 12.1% 16.9% 11.5% 9.8% 4.9% 1.5%
Kelsey Laforest 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 4.3% 6.3% 11.4% 22.1% 45.3%
Alexander Calderwood 4.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.8% 11.9% 13.0% 12.7% 13.7% 10.4% 5.9% 3.5% 0.5%
Nathaniel Barton 4.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7% 8.5% 9.3% 14.9% 13.4% 15.0% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9%
Mara Terchunian 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 3.2% 3.9% 5.7% 7.4% 13.5% 20.3% 23.1% 18.3%
Colby Jennings 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 2.7% 4.1% 8.2% 10.9% 18.4% 22.4% 23.9%
Kimberly Jackman 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 3.4% 4.6% 6.4% 6.4% 11.5% 17.5% 19.0% 17.5% 8.4%
Aaron Klein 9.5% 9.8% 13.2% 13.8% 14.6% 13.0% 12.5% 7.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.