Race 2B

south-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathaniel Barton 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 7.1% 8.4% 11.5% 12.8% 15.5% 13.9% 10.7% 5.1% 1.4%
Frederick Finkenauer 6.0% 6.7% 10.1% 11.7% 13.7% 12.9% 14.2% 12.3% 7.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Peter Girard 13.7% 14.3% 15.0% 17.2% 15.3% 9.9% 7.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Henry Lewis 3.4% 4.0% 6.7% 7.4% 11.2% 13.0% 13.9% 13.6% 10.9% 10.0% 5.0% 0.9%
Lydia Grasberger 36.3% 26.0% 16.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 4.3% 5.8% 7.8% 8.6% 10.3% 14.0% 13.5% 13.6% 11.5% 6.7% 3.5% 0.4%
Colby Jennings 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.1% 5.5% 7.2% 12.0% 18.0% 22.5% 22.5%
Aaron Klein 9.6% 11.6% 11.4% 14.8% 13.1% 14.1% 10.8% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 18.9% 20.9% 19.3% 15.6% 11.1% 7.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.5% 7.5% 13.5% 16.9% 23.9% 20.6%
Kelsey Laforest 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 4.0% 8.1% 10.7% 22.3% 46.3%
Kimberly Jackman 1.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.4% 4.0% 5.5% 8.8% 11.9% 15.4% 21.5% 15.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.