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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+2.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.62+4.57vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.72+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+0.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.47-0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84-3.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.94vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.77+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.48-1.20vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.42-2.41vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.86-2.39vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.15-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Northeastern University2.160.2%1st Place
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6.57Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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2.37Boston University2.840.4%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.1%1st Place
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9.32Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.59Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.61Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.07Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 17.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Mike Kanare | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 11.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 37.1% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 11.0% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.2% |
| Colby Jennings | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 23.6% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.