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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Christensen 17.0% 18.6% 18.4% 17.0% 12.4% 9.3% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Lewis 2.8% 5.3% 5.2% 7.9% 10.5% 13.0% 16.0% 15.4% 12.7% 7.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Mike Kanare 12.7% 11.8% 14.4% 15.1% 15.6% 13.1% 10.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Girard 11.3% 15.8% 17.5% 14.5% 14.2% 13.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 9.0% 10.4% 13.6% 13.5% 14.6% 14.7% 11.6% 7.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 37.1% 25.9% 15.5% 10.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Calderwood 5.4% 5.9% 7.1% 10.3% 10.6% 14.3% 13.6% 15.4% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.6%
Mara Terchunian 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.7% 7.4% 9.7% 11.8% 17.9% 21.2% 18.9%
Martin Hooker 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 4.0% 4.9% 10.2% 13.2% 16.1% 18.8% 15.7% 11.0%
Ryan Carlucci 1.0% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 5.1% 9.3% 12.2% 17.4% 18.4% 14.3% 10.2%
Colby Jennings 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 3.6% 5.6% 9.3% 12.5% 16.8% 21.8% 23.6%
Lauren Javaly 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 7.4% 12.1% 12.7% 21.0% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.