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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.68+6.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+2.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+3.72vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.31+8.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.19+4.00vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+2.09vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+1.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51-3.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-1.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.28-1.31vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.00-1.35vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.05-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-1.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-3.44vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.45-6.88vs Predicted
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16Bentley University1.82-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.29Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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12.09Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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8.09Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.69Brown University2.280.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.8University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
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8.12Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.37Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Goodrich | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 18.3% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 28.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Petno | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 17.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Sam Gates | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 21.2% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Colby Vickerson | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.