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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.00+8.49vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.19+5.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+2.84vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60-0.75vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+1.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+1.68vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.45-0.11vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05+0.43vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.35+1.98vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45-3.02vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.68-4.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-5.06vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.31-2.08vs Predicted
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15Bentley University1.82-4.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.25Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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7.67Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.98University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.2Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.92Bates College1.310.0%1st Place
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10.46Bentley University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.5% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 18.3% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Gates | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 23.2% |
| John Silvestri | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| MacKenzie MacRae | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 23.9% |
| Colby Vickerson | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.