Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nick Sertl 19.4% 16.2% 13.5% 14.0% 8.7% 7.8% 5.7% 5.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
OJ O'Connell 17.8% 15.3% 12.6% 12.1% 9.4% 7.4% 7.9% 5.7% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 7.6% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 8.7% 9.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 7.3% 6.5% 6.1% 4.0% 2.6% 2.1% 1.4%
Macklin Fluehr 3.7% 5.8% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 7.5% 8.3% 7.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 6.6% 3.6%
Patrick Penwell 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 6.8% 4.1%
Matthew Lyons 7.2% 7.7% 10.4% 7.9% 9.4% 8.3% 7.6% 8.5% 6.8% 5.2% 5.9% 5.3% 4.2% 2.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Courtney Koos 6.5% 7.6% 6.1% 6.4% 7.2% 6.5% 8.6% 7.5% 7.2% 7.9% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5%
John Silvestri 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 7.4% 6.1% 7.2% 7.2% 8.3% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.3% 5.3% 6.2% 2.3% 2.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.5% 8.0% 11.1% 14.0% 24.0%
Solomon Tarlin 3.7% 3.8% 5.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 9.1% 10.0% 9.6% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6%
Kyle Joba-Woodruff 3.1% 3.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.8% 4.3% 5.1% 3.7% 5.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.8% 12.9% 12.5%
Eric Anderson 6.2% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 5.9% 3.4% 3.0%
Emily Petno 4.8% 6.0% 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 8.2% 5.5% 8.7% 9.2% 7.1% 6.7% 6.2% 5.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1%
Sam Gates 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 6.6% 5.9% 7.0% 6.5% 8.8% 7.0% 7.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.5%
Colby Vickerson 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 3.4% 4.1% 6.6% 5.9% 5.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 10.9% 12.2% 8.2%
William Dykes 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 3.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 4.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 9.8% 10.0% 15.7% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.