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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+5.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+4.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.53+1.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-1.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71+1.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.49-2.40vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.78+0.83vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37+0.90vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.72-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-2.41vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.58-5.27vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.26-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.37Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.83University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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12.9Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.11Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.870.0%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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15.37Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 16.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 5.3% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 33.7% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Henderson | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 17.3% | 3.4% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.