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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+3.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.58+7.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+1.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+2.43vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.72+4.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.49+0.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-0.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.59vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-1.06vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-3.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72-5.11vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37+0.84vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.87-1.33vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-2.19vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.71-5.67vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.26-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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4.51Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.43Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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7.94Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.84Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Vermont0.870.0%1st Place
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11.81University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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15.39Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 16.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 31.0% | 11.3% |
| Nathan Henderson | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 4.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 11.2% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.