← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.72+7.98vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+2.53vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.58+6.59vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.60+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+1.58vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.49+0.74vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.87+4.69vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.53-1.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.72-3.13vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.43-3.07vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.05-6.00vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.08-4.02vs Predicted
-
13Bates College0.37-0.11vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire0.78-2.16vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-1.26+0.28vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.71-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.98Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
-
4.53Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
-
9.59Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
-
6.41Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.74Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.69University of Vermont0.870.0%1st Place
-
6.39Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.93Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.0Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
-
7.98Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
-
12.89Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.84University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
15.28Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
-
9.3Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 17.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Frumer | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Henderson | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 33.1% | 10.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 5.4% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 11.1% | 77.5% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.