Race 1A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Beaulieu 13.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.4% 13.6% 13.6% 8.7% 4.8% 1.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Ben Brown 8.2% 7.3% 9.6% 10.2% 12.3% 12.0% 12.5% 11.4% 9.8% 5.9% 0.8%
Rinchen Harrison 7.5% 6.8% 8.4% 9.5% 11.0% 12.7% 14.2% 13.0% 10.9% 5.2% 0.8%
Dylan Farrell 15.9% 17.7% 14.7% 15.3% 12.0% 10.7% 7.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jonathan Pope 21.7% 20.0% 18.2% 14.2% 10.3% 6.3% 5.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
William Manning 2.8% 5.1% 4.5% 5.6% 6.7% 7.8% 11.0% 13.6% 19.8% 15.3% 7.8%
Gordon Lameyer 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 3.3% 4.0% 7.2% 9.5% 14.8% 26.1% 25.7%
Benton Croop 4.4% 3.5% 5.6% 5.1% 7.4% 9.9% 9.9% 15.2% 17.1% 16.6% 5.3%
Ryan Gershuny 5.3% 6.2% 5.9% 8.7% 9.3% 10.5% 13.3% 14.9% 12.7% 9.4% 3.8%
Viktor Wettergren 18.0% 15.6% 14.9% 13.2% 12.0% 10.5% 7.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.7% 5.2% 9.0% 18.1% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.