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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.41+4.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+0.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38-0.94vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.33+2.19vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.15-0.33vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.98vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.29-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-1.52+0.86vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.01-2.34vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.64-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Harvard University1.410.0%1st Place
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2.71Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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2.06Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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4.41Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.19University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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5.67Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.02Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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5.23Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.66Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Brodheim | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 25.0% | 27.7% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 41.8% | 29.3% | 17.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Martin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 31.3% | 46.0% |
| Nathaniel Douglass | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Katie Medeiros | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 32.8% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.