← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Middlebury College1.15+4.72vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.86+2.24vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.38-0.94vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.81-1.24vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.29+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.41-0.86vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.33+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.92vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy0.01-1.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.64-0.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island-1.52-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.72Middlebury College1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.24Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
2.06Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
-
2.76Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
-
5.36Northeastern University1.290.1%1st Place
-
5.14Harvard University1.410.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
6.08Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.81Maine Maritime Academy0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.640.0%1st Place
-
9.84University of Rhode Island-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kerby-Miller | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 10.0% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 41.4% | 28.9% | 17.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 24.5% | 26.4% | 21.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adam Brodheim | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.8% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Douglass | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 5.7% |
| Katie Medeiros | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 10.7% | 27.7% | 50.0% |
| Ian Martin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 36.4% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.