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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.69vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+6.71vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+7.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+7.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.50vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.89vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.03vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+2.36vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.31vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58+0.88vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-1.86vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-3.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-7.75vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-5.91vs Predicted
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173.63-9.46vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.90-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.69Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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12.59Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.69Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.88Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.543.630.1%1st Place
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10.22University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Liana Folger | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 21.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Lily Katz | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.