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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+7.52vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+9.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.70vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+5.75vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90+5.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+6.76vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+2.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.76vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.00vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99+0.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-1.10vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-0.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-1.40vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.27vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.71-8.03vs Predicted
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163.63-8.56vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.10-11.28vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.76Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.39Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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11.75George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.443.630.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 20.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Liana Folger | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lily Katz | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.