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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+4.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+5.73vs Predicted
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53.63+2.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+2.42vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.67+4.40vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+2.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.79vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-4.22vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.43vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+0.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-1.41vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.52vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.33-2.31vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-6.52vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.21-7.78vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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7.333.630.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.4George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.59Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.69Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.48Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Lily Katz | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Liana Folger | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 17.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 18.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.