← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.10+6.99vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College3.33+5.31vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.78+2.79vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.68+4.73vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.39+1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.90+0.93vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.48-2.27vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.90-1.19vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.81-1.73vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.32+1.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.86-3.99vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.38-6.83vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University-1.25+0.79vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.52-9.25vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.29-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.99Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
-
7.31Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
-
5.79College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
-
4.78St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
-
9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
-
7.24Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.93University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.73Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.81Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
-
9.27Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
-
13.14University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.01University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
7.17Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
-
15.79Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.75Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 15.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Barch | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 53.2% | 6.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 91.7% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.