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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.63+6.56vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+5.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+4.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67+3.26vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.02vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.21vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.59vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-3.99vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.58-4.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.59vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.563.630.1%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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5.57Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.26George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.39University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.79Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.79Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.57Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Liana Folger | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.7% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.