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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.67+10.61vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63+5.52vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.03vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+2.00vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.47vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+3.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99+1.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.49vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-1.50vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-2.55vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-1.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-4.55vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-3.99vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-7.51vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.90-6.43vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.61George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.51Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.52Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Lily Katz | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Liana Folger | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.