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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.51+8.63vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.73+6.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+5.11vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+5.33vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96+2.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+2.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+0.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.25vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49-0.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-3.10vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-0.97vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-3.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-4.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-6.95vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.32vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.81Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.23University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.68Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Amina Brown | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Marly Isler | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte List | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 30.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.