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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+7.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.23+8.96vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+5.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+4.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.91vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.51+3.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+1.33vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.51+1.39vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.27vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-2.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.23vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-2.59vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.72vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-7.41vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.36vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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13.42Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.