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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+7.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.24vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+7.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.34vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.51+3.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+0.75vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76+0.30vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.84vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.21vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-3.83vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-4.87vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-7.18vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-6.45vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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11.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.3Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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13.65Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Marly Isler | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 31.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte List | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.