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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+9.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+6.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.87+5.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.43vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+4.65vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.73+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.89vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.52vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-3.90vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.77vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.83vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-5.64vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.32vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-7.37vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.84University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.47College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.41George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.48Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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13.68Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Marly Isler | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Amina Brown | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 30.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.