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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+7.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+3.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+2.70vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+3.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+3.65vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+5.43vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.82vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-1.55vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.27vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.73-4.69vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.51-4.88vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-5.63vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.44vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.90vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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13.43Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.82University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.73Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 30.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 14.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.