Race 1A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mason Wolters 21.6% 20.2% 16.1% 13.9% 10.9% 9.0% 4.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Emily Oltrogge 24.4% 20.9% 17.2% 14.2% 11.2% 6.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Theodore Cohen 6.5% 6.6% 8.3% 7.5% 9.7% 15.2% 18.6% 19.8% 6.7% 1.1%
Najwa Jumali 12.8% 15.7% 15.3% 15.8% 13.3% 12.8% 7.8% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Patrick Power 13.1% 11.9% 13.3% 16.2% 15.8% 12.3% 9.2% 6.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Robert Johnston 10.5% 10.7% 11.1% 13.1% 15.4% 12.9% 11.4% 11.7% 3.0% 0.2%
Melinda Lee 5.5% 7.5% 11.0% 10.2% 11.5% 16.4% 18.2% 12.9% 6.0% 0.8%
Libby Reeg 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 6.6% 8.0% 10.6% 18.7% 24.0% 13.8% 2.6%
Connor Lynch 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 5.4% 27.8% 57.8%
Greg Jenson 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 4.8% 9.5% 39.7% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.