Race 2A

northwest-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Johnston 10.9% 11.0% 12.0% 12.7% 13.3% 14.5% 12.4% 9.7% 3.0% 0.5%
Mason Wolters 20.2% 18.1% 17.5% 14.0% 14.3% 7.7% 4.3% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Melinda Lee 6.2% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 12.0% 14.1% 18.2% 17.4% 5.4% 1.0%
Theodore Cohen 5.6% 6.0% 8.8% 11.3% 9.9% 14.6% 17.9% 17.8% 7.2% 0.9%
Emily Oltrogge 24.1% 21.6% 19.4% 12.9% 10.0% 6.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Najwa Jumali 16.5% 13.4% 13.7% 15.3% 13.2% 13.7% 9.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Patrick Power 11.1% 15.2% 13.1% 15.0% 15.2% 13.1% 9.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Libby Reeg 4.1% 4.4% 5.6% 7.3% 8.6% 12.1% 17.4% 24.2% 14.2% 2.1%
Greg Jenson 0.6% 1.5% 0.5% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 4.1% 10.2% 39.6% 37.0%
Connor Lynch 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 3.1% 5.9% 27.1% 58.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.