Race 3A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mason Wolters 20.9% 20.1% 17.0% 13.8% 10.6% 8.2% 5.5% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 24.6% 21.1% 17.3% 13.7% 10.2% 8.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Power 12.4% 12.1% 14.3% 14.3% 14.8% 13.0% 10.8% 6.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Najwa Jumali 12.7% 15.0% 16.0% 14.8% 14.7% 11.9% 9.1% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Theodore Cohen 7.6% 7.5% 6.6% 10.5% 10.4% 13.5% 16.6% 18.2% 7.6% 1.5%
Robert Johnston 11.0% 10.1% 12.0% 12.5% 15.7% 12.8% 13.0% 9.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Libby Reeg 3.6% 3.9% 6.1% 7.3% 7.5% 13.7% 16.8% 24.7% 13.7% 2.7%
Greg Jenson 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 5.5% 9.8% 40.0% 35.9%
Connor Lynch 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 3.7% 5.1% 26.6% 58.4%
Melinda Lee 6.2% 8.8% 8.1% 10.5% 13.0% 14.3% 15.6% 16.3% 6.4% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.