Race 4A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mason Wolters 23.5% 18.0% 16.5% 12.8% 13.3% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Patrick Power 11.9% 12.6% 15.1% 13.8% 13.2% 14.5% 9.7% 7.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Emily Oltrogge 23.2% 20.6% 16.2% 17.5% 10.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Johnston 9.2% 10.3% 12.7% 13.4% 15.3% 13.8% 13.7% 8.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Theodore Cohen 6.9% 7.7% 8.3% 8.7% 9.7% 14.5% 18.0% 16.9% 7.7% 1.6%
Melinda Lee 7.9% 8.0% 9.7% 8.4% 12.1% 15.1% 15.5% 15.9% 6.5% 0.9%
Najwa Jumali 12.0% 16.4% 14.2% 16.7% 14.2% 11.7% 8.5% 5.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Libby Reeg 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 6.5% 9.2% 11.0% 17.5% 26.2% 12.3% 2.7%
Connor Lynch 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.6% 3.4% 6.1% 27.5% 57.5%
Greg Jenson 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 4.1% 4.5% 8.9% 40.1% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.