Race 5A

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mason Wolters 24.2% 19.5% 17.3% 13.0% 11.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Najwa Jumali 14.4% 15.2% 17.2% 14.4% 12.6% 11.5% 7.2% 5.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Emily Oltrogge 24.4% 22.1% 17.9% 15.1% 10.3% 5.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Theodore Cohen 5.4% 8.0% 8.9% 9.5% 13.8% 11.9% 15.7% 13.6% 10.8% 2.4%
Melinda Lee 7.8% 9.4% 8.7% 10.4% 11.2% 17.2% 13.9% 11.7% 7.4% 2.3%
Travis Cottle 12.7% 10.6% 12.4% 15.4% 13.1% 13.0% 9.2% 8.5% 4.3% 0.8%
Kevin Miller 3.9% 5.4% 7.0% 7.3% 10.5% 13.1% 17.1% 16.1% 14.6% 5.0%
Libby Reeg 4.3% 5.0% 6.3% 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 14.7% 18.8% 17.0% 6.3%
Greg Jenson 0.8% 1.3% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 4.1% 6.8% 14.7% 64.6%
Geoffrey Owens 2.1% 3.5% 3.6% 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 11.0% 15.1% 28.5% 18.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.