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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.84+1.32vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.50+0.96vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+0.34vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.67-0.43vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.37-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-1.35-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-0.31-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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3.32University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.96Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.58Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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5.57Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.45Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Iowa-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 27.6% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 21.0% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 15.0% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 9.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Melinda Lee | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Theodore Cohen | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 6.0% |
| Kevin Miller | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Greg Jenson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 15.3% | 64.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 30.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.