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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.84+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+0.94vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.50-0.12vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.79-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.37-1.01vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.67-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73+0.06vs Predicted
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10Hope College0.28-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-1.35-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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3.88Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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5.46Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.16Hope College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Iowa-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 23.2% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 26.6% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Najwa Jumali | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Melinda Lee | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Miller | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Theodore Cohen | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 27.8% | 54.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Greg Jenson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 36.8% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.